Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 3.521001 3.741744 3.975339 4.241996 4.539272 4.862028 5.241032
2025-10-12 3.208510 3.526390 3.882431 4.315121 4.832865 5.440680 6.220987
2025-10-19 3.012065 3.385566 3.820358 4.372681 5.069097 5.937963 7.138811
2025-10-26 2.847355 3.254420 3.742315 4.383858 5.227637 6.335521 7.969798
2025-11-02 2.683277 3.105514 3.622892 4.321612 5.271945 6.573224 8.603237
2025-11-09 2.527905 2.954044 3.485234 4.217913 5.241811 6.693537 9.070106
2025-11-16 2.410902 2.842280 3.388562 4.157083 5.259162 6.875797 9.654447
2025-11-23 2.342362 2.787477 3.360764 4.184759 5.400654 7.254483 10.629188
2025-11-30 2.276040 2.730967 3.325730 4.197227 5.517343 7.604528 11.623769
2025-12-07 2.168613 2.614491 3.202515 4.073947 5.414732 7.581953 11.905331
2025-12-14 2.079949 2.519249 3.103543 3.979157 5.347482 7.609189 12.289350
2025-12-21 2.017207 2.456200 3.045789 3.940786 5.365020 7.782446 13.013774
2025-12-28 1.967864 2.411057 3.013166 3.941324 5.451147 8.099266 14.167728
2026-01-04 1.940717 2.395386 3.021609 4.005013 5.648456 8.652460 16.076822
2026-01-11 1.911710 2.375502 3.022374 4.055877 5.827721 9.199263 18.204094
2026-01-18 1.873201 2.340411 2.998782 4.065754 5.934647 9.616205 20.165906
2026-01-25 1.819600 2.281780 2.937579 4.010706 5.918273 9.768333 21.383142
2026-02-01 1.759415 2.211772 2.856645 3.918865 5.826250 9.741605 21.998078
2026-02-08 1.712520 2.159481 2.800407 3.864911 5.801102 9.862938 23.215698
2026-02-15 1.688331 2.139200 2.791651 3.889466 5.927308 10.355296 26.168264
2026-02-22 1.662096 2.114969 2.775686 3.900524 6.027777 10.804657 29.322993
2026-03-01 1.607990 2.048297 2.691991 3.791078 5.879448 10.608769 29.347529
2026-03-08 1.562247 1.992930 2.624317 3.706760 5.776926 10.520353 29.905147